Feb. 11 at 9:58 AM
$HOOD's earnings report signals the bull cycle might be over, at least for the short term. While a crash isn’t in the cards, a rangebound movement seems likely.
Here’s why:
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Revenue growth decelerated to 27% Y/Y.
Forward P/E estimates could rise to 45-50+ at a
$80B MC, which doesn’t justify the current price.
The growth they’ve seen recently came from acquisitions (e.g., Bitstamp) rather than new features driving organic revenue.
While long-term potential remains, short-term headwinds are tough to ignore. The crypto market recovery could be the lifeline.
To regain momentum, here are a few plays:
1️⃣ Expand internationally –
$IBKR is grabbing market share, especially in places like Japan/Korea.
2️⃣ Launch a token on their blockchain, like BNB did for Binance, to boost their balance sheet.
Avoid relying on prediction markets—it’s a risky move with questionable optics.
$HOOD will need to pivot to stay relevant!