Jul. 22 at 6:54 PM
$TSLA
There’s actually a prediction market tracking whether Tesla beats earnings, and roughly 79% are positioned for a beat.
For me, the key metric isn’t just revenue or EPS, it’s gross margin stability. A meaningful margin decline would be the biggest red flag.
My expectation: revenue likely comes in above estimates, but EPS could disappoint.
I’m staying away from making a direct earnings bet. Tesla’s post-earnings reactions have been extremely unpredictable, and the market often moves beyond the headline numbers.
