Oct. 24 at 7:10 PM
$AFRM | VolanX DSS — Model-Trial Outlook
(Yellow = expected volatility cone; Red = base path)
Thesis: Secular recovery intact; expect a messy pullback → consolidation → trend resumption before a potential run toward prior extension zones.
Key levels:
Supports: 68 → 60–55 (buy zone), invalidation: weekly close < 53
Targets: T1 126, T2 169, Stretch 350 (multi-year if trendline holds)
Timing: Base/re-accumulation into 2026; upside acceleration possible 2027–2029.
Volatility: Yellow path anticipates sharp swings around the red path (trend), including deeper shakeouts before expansions.
VolanX DSS Score (trial, 6–24M horizon)
Trend Structure: 7.5/10 (higher highs on weekly; still below major extensions)
Momentum Breadth: 6.8/10 (improving but not decisive; expects whipsaws)
Liquidity/Participation: 7.2/10 (range expansion > 2024; watch volume on breakouts)
Macro/Rates Headwind: 5.8/10 (sensitive to consumer credit & funding costs)
Catalysts: 6.2/10 (earnings execution, BNPL partnerships, credit performance)
Risk (credit/dilution/reg): 6.5/10
Composite Bias: 0.62 (modestly bullish)
Scenario Probabilities: Bull continuation 58% | Range 27% | Breakdown 15%
Plan (not advice):
Scale entries: 60–65 pullbacks; add on weekly close > 82
Risk: stop < 53 weekly
R/R: ~1:3 toward 126/169; reassess at each target.
#AFRM #VolanX #AITrading #Liquidity #RiskManagement #WaverVanir
