Aug. 28 at 4:27 PM
$SMCI 🐂 — WHY I’M TARGETING
$44 NEXT WEEK
Bears are focused on yesterday’s narrative. I’m focused on earnings, growth, AI demand and valuation.
* 🔥 Q4 FY26 revenue:
$11.1B
* 💰 Q4 net income:
$1.18B
* 📈 Non-GAAP gross margin: 17.6%
* 🚀 Q1 FY27 revenue guidance:
$14.5B–
$15.5B
* 🚀 FY27 revenue guidance:
$65B–
$72B
* 🤖 Positioned directly in the
$NVDA/
$AMD AI infrastructure cycle
* 💧 Major exposure to the transition toward high-density liquid-cooled AI racks
* 🌐 Cisco is pairing its networking technology with Supermicro liquid-cooled systems supporting next-generation NVIDIA platforms
* 💎 SMCI continues to trade at a substantial valuation discount to several AI/data-center peers
* 📊 That discount gives SMCI significant rerating potential if execution continues and governance concerns fade.
And here’s my call:
🎯 MY PROJECTION FOR NEXT WEEK:
$44
Not because I’m expecting magic. I’m expecting the market to eventually recognize the combination of revenue growth + profitability + AI infrastructure demand + an inexpensive valuation.
$44 would only be another step in the rerating—not the end of my longer-term thesis.
The numbers are getting harder to ignore. 🐂🔥
$NVDA $AMD $DELL $VRT
