Feb. 7 at 6:55 AM
$MSFT I mapped out the first Buying Zone when it was trading in
$450 to
$480 range. I didn't think it would be go below
$397 but it's flirting to break that, though it recovered back above.
I mapped out two more buy zones.
Recently Nasdaq corrected -8% from peak and recovered back to -5% level, but if Nasdaq corrects to -10%, then MSFT will drop into the 2nd buy zone.
I mapped out the 3rd buy zone, but that ain't happening unless market corrects near -20%, which I don't see happening in 2026.
3 key perceptions or real challenges are:
■ CapEx spending - but demand supports this growing investment, though market is skeptical.
■ Falling behind
$GOOG and
$AMZN in building custom chips that can save up to 80%
■ Slow Copilot adoption - Users love AI, but the corporates are slow to cough up
$21 to
$30 per user a month cost.
56 analysts give and average target of
$600 for 50% upside potential. This is an easy buy for me, but you have to be able to hold it for at least 12 months for full benefit