Feb. 6 at 5:30 PM
$TDG Somewhat Bullish to be clear.
$73BN Market Cap
$2.8BN in Cash
$30BN in debt, highly leveraged company
Sales
$8.9BN in FY 2025, up 10% prior year. Growth in sales last qtr 14% YOY, organic growth 7.4%.
Earnings from Operations Approx
$2.6 BN based on adjustments. High dividend paying company
$9.6BN last year (12-13% dividend yield based on current market cap).
Highly acquisitory Aircraft Components company which almost acts like a PE firm. Recently announced 3 acquisitions for
$3.2BN. Strong sector with continued demand for their products as the global air traffic & defense spending grows.
Company is at about 27x trailing multiple. A large dividend payout unlikely in 2026 given large acquisitions.
Analyst PT with mean around 1600.
What’s the verdict: I think there is a good 20-30% upside on the stock at current price with a strong support on the lower end (but it has tested this level 3-4x recently).
