Aug. 3 at 5:26 PM
$STUDY — Volatility Personalities Inside the Nasdaq‑100
In my custom view I’m looking at the current top 10 or so components of the Nasdaq‑100 — top because they satisfy 13 technical studies and are rated 100% Buy over at Barchart.
When I scan this list, I immediately look all the way to the right at the 50‑day ATRP (ATR expressed as a percentage of price).
This tells me the volatility personality of each stock.
In this group (the 2nd attached image), the lowest ATRP is:
$EA — 0.44% → ultra‑low volatility → maybe too boring
And the highest ATRP is:
$DDOG — 4.12% → ultra‑high volatility → maybe too exciting
Both extremes are tradable, but they require very different cycle engines. The Sweet Spot: 2–3% ATRP.
Something in the 2–3% ATRP range is: volatile enough to be interesting, but still manageable, with less chaotic noise,
and cleaner trend structure
In the image, we have several Nasdaq‑100 names in this ideal zone:
ABNB
AMGN
CCEP
FAST
$PCAR (shown in the attached chart)
ROST
These are the names where the fast entry system shines — but the slow exit system keeps you in the trend.
How We Trade These (PCAR Example)
On PCAR’s chart:
Fast entry system catches the inflection points
Slow exit system keeps you in the move until the trend truly breaks
The orange line you see is the slow exit anchor, placed 2 ATR below the 100 EMA. This gives us: a volatility‑adjusted entry trigger, a risk measurement tool, and a position‑sizing reference
The slow exit line (KC2) defines the trend boundary.
As long as price stays above it, the trend is intact — even if the fast system fires multiple entries. We can continue to take all the fast entries, perhaps scaling in
This combination is ideal for stocks in the 2–3% ATRP range because:
fast entries catch the impulses or upward shifts in momentum,
slow exits survive the noise, risk is measurable and position size can be adjusted logically
Key Point
The Nasdaq‑100 contains the full volatility spectrum:
EA (0.44%) → too boring → KC1/KC1
DDOG (4.12%) → too exciting → KC1/KC2
ABNB, AMGN, CCEP, FAST, PCAR, ROST (2–3%) → the sweet spot → KC1 entries + KC2 exits
ATR% reveals the volatility personality.
Cycle selection respects it.
Have a good and profitable day and life
