Jul. 15 at 2:57 PM
quant-builder.ai/learn
Healthcare
$IYH model firing on a weak open - 23 picks, UNH and ELV at the top
The generalist models are still quiet today — same situation as two days ago, basically nothing across the QB500 and All Stocks universes.
But the Healthcare model is different this morning.
$ELV opened down about 10%,
$UNH down around 2%. Sector opened weak. The model came back with 23 deduplicated picks at 68.9% avg confidence, with UNH at 81% and ELV at 79% — the model is most confident in the names that sold off the hardest at open.
I went in. I'm keeping profit targets tight though -
$SPY is trying to push through ATH and I don't want to give a healthcare trade a long leash in that environment. Short term, close exits.
The charts:
First image is the 90-day portfolio chart for the Healthcare model (2 models combined, deduplicated). 64 days analyzed. 67.7% avg confidence, +1.55% avg return, 65% win rate, Sharpe 4.32. The teal line is the model equity curve at 1% per pick. Gold is the Healthcare sector benchmark over the same window.
Middle section shows picks per day — it's been averaging 16/day for 90 days. Consistent. It never really goes quiet the way the generalist models do.
Second image is today's picks list. Sorted by confidence. The big insurers are at the top of the list which makes sense given the sector weakness this morning.
Still doing nothing on the All Stocks / QB500 side. When those models go quiet I don't force it. Healthcare is where the conviction is today.
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