Sep. 13 at 5:21 AM
$UPST The chart behaves like a mood ring for credit spreads—volatile, overshoots both ways.
#RKT Rocket Companies bought Redfin, which means collaging real estate traffic with an equally interest-rate-sensitive mortgage business. Analysts are already hyping rate cuts. BofA upgraded the stock, hiking the target from
$21 to
$24. The case is simple: falling rates juice both purchase & refinance volumes. The Mr. Cooper deal comes with the usual promise of half a billion in “synergies.” Add in
$200M in Redfin synergy fairy dust & an 11% bump to 2026 EPS estimates.
Notes on Rocket: The Redfin purchase. Fifty million monthly visitors now feed into a mortgage machine already chained to rate cycles. A funnel. Falling rates. Rates down, volumes up. This is the entire “thesis.” It was true yesterday, it will be true tomorrow. Mr. Cooper synergies. They promise
$500 million in “synergies.” Redfin synergies. Over
$200 million projected by 2027. Allegedly from cost cuts & cross-selling. EPS boost.
