Sep. 5 at 1:00 PM
https://youtube.com/watch?v=TusZu0d_mRk&is=PHT6pNsy0XMwBIRn
$SPY $QQQ $DIA $IWM $SMH
Scenario 1 (Super Bullish): The Nasdaq 100 breaks past its June all-time high, driven by renewed strength in semiconductors and large-cap growth stocks. (6:07 - 7:37)
• Scenario 2 (Mildly Bullish): The index remains range-bound, potentially retesting June peaks without reaching a new all-time high, with technology continuing to lag behind value sectors. (7:39 - 9:39)
• Scenario 3 (Mildly Bearish): The index rotates lower to test the 200-day moving average and July lows, with growth stocks facing continued pressure as interest rates potentially drift higher. (9:41 - 12:11)
• Scenario 4 (Super Bearish): A "full risk-off" event (like geopolitical escalation or high inflation data) pushes the Nasdaq well below its 200-day moving average, reaching deeper retracement levels before a potential Q4 recovery. (12:12 - 15:03)