Feb. 6 at 1:25 PM
Reality Check for Market Timing
No one — not even the GOATs — consistently buys the exact bottom or sells the exact top.
Buffett/Berkshire examples:
• Trimmed
$AAPL in 2023–24 around ~
$170–
$230 → stock later ran well past
$250
• Started exiting
$BYD in 2022–23 near HK
$220–
$300 → price eventually hit ~HK
$400
• Munger’s Daily Journal cut
$BABA in 2022 around ~
$70–
$140 → stock later rebounded
These aren’t mistakes — they’re proof that perfect timing is a myth, even with elite access, experience, and discipline.
So expecting random TA accounts on X to call every top/bottom for free? Unrealistic.
Consistently nailing turns is a multi-billion-dollar edge. If it truly existed at scale, it wouldn’t live in threads — it would be quietly monetized.
Focus on process, risk management, and probabilities. Not fantasy precision
