LubberJML
Oct 15, 12:52 PM
$WRD the biggest turn that I want to see from WeRide in its Q3 reports is a 10% shrinkage in net loss. If that happens that says other important metrics all got better for revenue, rev per employee, number of AV deployments/scaling, ADAS growth, etc.
Han said the company will be profitable 10 qtrs from now. To do that net loss has to disappear. Their Q2 net loss was
$59.1MM. To get to profitability by that time net loss should shrink by an avg of
$5.9MM per qtr. That won't always be the average out but it's a ballpark reference for the trend going forward.
So, net loss for Q3 should print at
$53.2M. If that is delayed by another qtr it changes the value on the next 9 qtrs, which will be more than
$5.9MM.
The midpoint of analyst consensus revenue projection for 2026 is 149MM. H1 came in well above consensus est of
$42MM thanks to a stronger Q2 beat. Q3 and Q4 need to avh
$50MM per qtr. So, I think rev will favor a smaller net loss. Will it be enoguh to redice net loss by
$5.9MM?
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