Aug. 22 at 6:22 PM
🟡
$CCL | DCS −5.5 → slight bear (55%) but high pin @
$30–31.
Spot
$31.08; Γ-flip
$31 (just above), Net GEX +1.26 (long-γ = damped vol), Net DEX −6.10 (MMs buying dips), Net SOI +1.10 / Purity 0.88 (bullish flow @ 31). RSI 26.5 oversold.
S/R:
$30 POC=Call OI POC (magnet/support),
$32 R,
$33 GEX peak, 29.36–30.47 reg band.
Confluence: strongest at
$31 (Γ/Max GEX/+SOI) &
$30 (POC overlap).
Plan: Likely range
$30–32. ⚡ Fade pops 31.8–32.1 if DPI<0 → Tgt 31→30.1; Stop >32.4. Alt: Buy dips 30.5–30.0 if SOI purity holds → Tgt 31→32; Stop <29.7.
Options: Sell 32/33 call credit (7–14D) or 30/28 put credit (14–21D) to capture pin; flip to 32/33 call debit only on 32 break/hold.
📊 Quant: Exp move ≈
$2.31 (35D); Pin risk ~53%; P(>|1σ|) ~18%, decay-adj ~9%.
📰 Q2 beat/raised guide + refi momentum supports dips.
