Jun. 25 at 9:17 AM
$RIO SO bad news for aluminum and iron ore continues. Lithium merger was a huge mistake. Glad they are getting rid of their woke CEO.
Increases in high margin Copper are good.
I had Chat GPT give estimates of what the new 2025 EPS will be. Interestingly it wasn't as bad as I have expected.
Markets do over react but this may still be a great buying opportunity especially if the global recession ends soon.
📊 2025 EPS Impact Breakdown for
$RIO
Iron Ore –
$0.15 to –
$0.20
Aluminum –
$0.10 to –
$0.15
Lithium –
$0.02 (midpoint)
Copper @
$10.8k/t +
$0.21
Lower Energy Costs +
$0.12
Net EPS Impact +
$0.06 to –
$0.14
🎯 Final 2025 Adjusted EPS
Street Consensus:
$6.11
Adjusted EPS Range:
$5.97 –
$6.17
Midpoint:
$6.07
Depending how they adjust for the stupid lithium merger and other costs they could meet 2025 full year earnings. Might wait until the price drops a bit more.