Jul. 15 at 9:00 PM
$PGY The turning point was the first quarter of 2025. GAAP profitability clearly signaled to the market that the worst was behind it and triggered a much-needed change in sentiment. However, I think the market hasn't fully grasped this yet. Even after recovering from the lows, Pagaya trades at less than 5x 2026 EBITDA. That's incredibly cheap compared to peers like Upstart, which trades at over 25x, or even SOFI, which trades at 18.5x. Even a partial revaluation—to 10x—would represent over 100% upside. And if interest rates do decline significantly, it could happen much faster than expected.