Apr. 7 at 2:54 PM
ENERGY + GEOPOLITICAL FLOW | April 7
Kharg Island struck this morning. Oil at
$115. Here is how smart money is positioning:
$OXY:
$1.9M, 100% CALLS, aggressive sweeps. Jan27
$65C and Jun
$70C loading. Oil bulls betting war premium stays elevated.
$SHEL:
$1.2M, 100% CALLS, 0.80 aggression. Jun
$90C sweeps. European energy getting bid.
$GLD:
$5.3M, 58% puts BUT the call sweeps are aggressive. Geopolitical hedge still active.
$SQQQ:
$1.4M, 89% CALLS. Buying inverse QQQ calls = bearish tech conviction.
$SPXS:
$275K, 100% CALLS, 0.83 aggression. Small but notable. Inverse S&P positioning.
Iran deadline 8pm ET. IRGC says restraint is over. If escalation continues, energy longs and index shorts are the trade.
Process over prediction. NFA.
@WaverVanir