Dec. 16 at 7:45 PM
🎅📈 S&P 500 Santa Rally Track Record
Seasonax data going back 95 years shows the Santa Rally has been remarkably consistent. From Dec. 20 to Jan. 4, the S&P 500 has risen ~76% of the time, averaging a +1.7% gain with 72 advances vs 23 declines. Outside of the Great Depression, drawdowns during this window have historically been limited.
The strongest Santa Rally on record came in 1991, with the S&P 500 surging nearly 8% into early January.
Top Santa Rally stocks over the last 20 years (Dec. 16–31):
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$ILMN: 85% win rate, +4% avg return
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$CAT: 80% win rate, +1.25% avg return
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$JPM: 75% win rate, +1.89% avg return
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$FCX: 70% win rate, +3.54% avg return with multiple double-digit runs
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$GS: 65% win rate, +2.69% avg return
Seasonality isn’t a guarantee, but history shows Santa has delivered more often than not. 🎄📊
