1-3 Year Treasury Bond Ishares ETF (SHY)

$SPY $TLT $SGOV $VGIT $SHY This about sums it up. “Borrow too much, go broke – that’s what happens on Wall Street. But it doesn’t happen to the federal government. What does happen is higher yields, higher interest payments, and higher inflation until Congress cries uncle and starts dealing with the deficit.” Many people still don’t understand the bond market or simply don’t want to own them. I understand, but I’m definitely going to move back into TLT soon. I will DCA my position. $82 floor looks good and if it does fall to the possible $66-68 level, then I will accumulate more. Getting 5-6% interest isn’t bad. Especially for a 5 year hold. It’s still highly possible that bonds outperform or equally perform equities the next 5-10 years. I’m overweight miners and energy for now, but bonds will begin to fill my portfolio again soon. Bonds are no longer dead. https://wolfstreet.com/2026/08/23/the-bond-market-is-finally-functioning-again-after-14-years-of-financial-repression/

$SPY $TLT $SGOV $SHY Getting close..

$SPY This is not the time period to be living way out of your means, taking on high interest debt, making expensive purchases and expanding your debt. You should be living very cautiously and not overspending. $TLT $SGOV $SHY

$TLT $VGIT $SCHP $SGOV $SHY I don’t see 10 to 30 year bonds falling until we’ve officially entered a recession. I still won’t be surprised to see the 30 year move above 6% and 10 year above 5%. “It took the bond market only two days to undo the one-day effect of Bessent’s second hocus-pocus show in August. It had taken the bond market almost two weeks to undo the effect of Bessent’s first hocus-pocus show at the beginning of August. If there is a third hocus-pocus show, the effect may be gone in one day (and we’ll start labeling them Hocus-Pocus 1, Hocus-Pocus 2, etc. to be able to keep track of them”. I’ve been calling for a 200 point basis spread for two years now. It’s coming. Nobody wants to hold trillions in debt for nothing less than 6%. Especially in this inflationary environment. At some point, I will begin scaling back into TLT however. At $82 is solid support. Regardless of it falls to $66-68, we can accumulate and simply wait for what we know is coming. QE

$TLT $SHY $SGOV $IEF META AI response on if rate cuts will happen soon Short answer: Probably not "soon" — and some forecasts now say no cuts at all in 2026. Here’s what the data is saying right now as of Aug 2026: What’s happening Fed is on pause: Rates have been held at 3.50% - 3.75% since the last cut in Dec 2025. Inflation is sticky again: May CPI was 4.2% YoY and core PCE was 4.1%. That’s well above the Fed’s 2% target. Middle East war/oil prices are keeping it elevated. Labor market is still solid: Unemployment 4.2% in June, which gives the Fed room to stay hawkish. What forecasters expect for 2026 It’s split now: Most brokerages: 0 cuts Goldman, Morgan Stanley, Barclays, JPMorgan and others now expect no policy change in 2026. A Reuters poll majority also expects the Fed to hold all year. Some still see 1-2 cuts: Citigroup and Wells Fargo see 2 cuts late in the year. The Fed’s own "dot plot" median is for just 1 quarter-point cut. A few even see hikes: BofA and Deutsche now forecast 2-3 hikes instead. Market pricing Futures markets as of early July put 0% chance of a cut in July and ∼75% chance of a hold. Some traders are even pricing in a hike by year-end. Why the shift Early 2026 expectations were for 2 cuts. But war-driven energy prices + inflation running hot pushed forecasts back. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh also looks more hawkish. Bottom line for you "Soon" = unlikely. Next move is more likely a hold, and some say a hike. If we do get cuts, most that still forecast them point to Sept-Dec 2026, not now. What matters: Rates will likely stay "higher for longer" unless unemployment spikes suddenly. This is why SonGoku and other finance creators keep stressing risk management and dividend income right now — borrowing costs aren’t dropping fast. Want me to show how rate cuts vs no cuts would affect SCHD, JEPI, and a mortgage? Google AI response Rate cuts are unlikely to happen soon. The Federal Reserve left its benchmark rate at 3.5% to 3.75% during its July meeting, and persistent inflation concerns alongside energy costs mean markets are currently weighing the possibility of further rate holds or even hikes rather than near-term cuts. Major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs do not project actual rate cuts to begin until late 2027. Current Economic FactorsInflation Pressures: Elevated energy prices and sticky inflation metrics have caused the Fed to adopt a patient stance.Policy Stance: The federal funds target range remains steady at 3.50%–3.75% following a divided 9-3 vote in July.Market Outlook: Major forecasters expect policy rates to hold flat or face upward pressure before any easing cycle begins.

Yikes crazy.. $SPY $TLT $SGOV $SHY

Rising Bond Yields Are A Warning To The US Treasury And The Fed Also Mentions: $TLT $SHY $IEF https://talkmarkets.com/article/rising-bond-yields-are-a-warning-to-the-us-treasury-and-the-fed-1786971011

$TLT $IEF $SGOV $SHY https://x.com/treasurybonds1/status/2089031683244691807?s=46&t=8OxA83oihMxQOGi15o7Stg

$SGOV $SHY $SPY $TLT

$SPY $TLT $SGOV $SHY As the Government tries to normalize and celebrate CPI of 3-4%, please understand… ~4% inflation is a disaster. Your purchasing power is cut in HALF every 17 years. You're being brutally robbed.