Aug. 5 at 2:39 AM
$BOIL Some members keep mentioning “decay,” and while it’s valid, it’s often thrown around without context. Based on years of tracking the math: if you don’t recover — long or short — within 7–8 months, you’re almost guaranteed to lose 60% or more. Example: if you’re down on KOLD or BOIL today and don’t recover in that window, you likely never will. Decay isn’t a short-term issue, but over 2–3 market seasons, it hits hard. It affects both longs and shorts. Rule of thumb: if you’ve held for 9 months and are still down, recovery is unlikely — better to cut the loss. And if you think decay only hits longs, you’re missing how these ETFs actually work.
