Jan. 2 at 6:37 AM
$JFIN
Look here, Imo, step one, look at share price, and then pe ratio... then cash flow for quicker company money dynamics. Evaluate vs peers, industry, country etc. Then look at book value for safety, estimate liquidation value for more margin of saftey. Regulations, and move all measures forward a few years.
Div history and buybacks. Looks for guys like john till who stops talking about all his stocks he owns and states he sells at bottom before they 10x like zepp and viot. Look for them to block you like he did when i said id buy viot below 1 dollar. They are liars or frauds or stupid or bad traders., not sure yet, but i just look at data.. betting against them serves me very very well.
Look for stock twit posts high volume at the top and none at the bottoms after 50 plus percent drop.
Look for the few posters left thinking they know the late news and swlling out and being quiet sfter the drop, who bot the top. Best clear sign.
Look for buy backs, real ones.. where share count drops, and employee share compensation doesnt override it. The share count should actually drop, qoq , if they are actaullay buying and not diluting more at same time.
Look for fake news or old news being repeated. This is a diff era. The rules have changed to win, its 4d 3rd level thinking. Look for honest ceos and board members. Avoid fluff "news". Gap ups sold off on news is 10,000 words of real life lies.
Look for retained capital.
Look for book and liquidation value appreciation. Liq value is almost always less than bv as its assumes fire sale prices. When book value consists of a lot of cash. It can be close to or similar to bv.
Buy on red days, red weeks months or years if dd is assumed correct.
Again regs can be a killer
Keep an eye out for 5 year old regs being published in the news or media after large sp drops.
Use share bb and divs as a way to validate the balance sheet.
Create a margin of error in calculations
Know there are dozens of reasons someone would sell, or have to.. and only 1 reason to buy.
With a solid company, buying into weakness provides more benefit than selling into strength.
Always assume the move will push harder, higher or lower than expected.
Avoid promotions
99.99 percnet of st posters are garbage and lose money over 5 years.
Diversification works, but its for idiots. Will not out perform market, if thats the strat, id buy all world index. Most traders should quit and do that imo.
Its all imo
Un investable is key media word for take a loan to buy as much as you can for about 1 to 2 years, until they say its investable, then take all of those gains and sell enough to cover the principal.
Sell covered calls once they call it investable after up about 150 percent..
The media states to buy what they sre selling and sell what they are buying
However if they say sell, it can still go down for a while or vice versa as the campaign proceeds.
Media is all owened by a few corps who dont make money telling the truth. They have to make money. They make more when the narrative is a lie.
Financial analyst who assume price targets are guessing, and have bad track records.
If they were good or correct, they would trade stocks and make fortunes.
Leverage is a blessing and a curse at the same time.
Overall its a curse.
Mm and manipulation by them is a lie. Maybe short term, but its not sustainable. The busines is good and goes up, or not.
This is the most important imo.
Again its all my opinion, i make rules to win.
The next one, and maybe most imortant is the enviroment changes.
Spy feed is a cancer. I remember 10 year ago, the feed was full of smart option sellers. Picking up pennies in front of a steamroller. Credits spreads etc. Great strats still if managed. They are all gone, wiped out
It was a diff regime
