Aug. 15 at 9:45 PM
$BATL $ELMT $TII $USO.X
$USOY
You’ll notice that commentary from the US political peanut gallery has become a bit quieter. Typically, when Trump is sending AI gifs of himself riding eagles across the SOH-> ceasefire/MOU incoming.
When it gets quiet? Military attacks to recommence. If indeed the stories are accurate that the UAE sent frozen assets/ a payday to Iran only to have their tankers on the receiving end of a missile barrage, this was a misstep by Iran.
I have no doubt they are capable of seizing large swaths of the GCC right now, but if they politically positioned as a reasonable overlord rather than a violent/irrational conquering force, the GCC would flock to them.
Trump is accurate in his recent statements concerning the same. He commented on this very fact by stating that Iran is digging their own grave with continued attacks on the surrounding countries. One of his few recent reasonable comments.
The SOH is a much coveted prize, and many are coming to accept Iranian ownership now. The Bab could easily become their next prize. However, continued irrational destruction will lead to continued opposition rather than acceptance imo.
The coming weeks are particularly significant in the timeline of the Weekend War. Russia is rattling more than swords in NATO’s front yard, and the US petroleum reserve continues its measured drawdown. The Yen will require further intervention in the very near term, as well, and we will likely see measured but markedly larger BOJ and US efforts in controlling the USD/JPY disparity. In short, the kettle is beginning to boil. We will see who grabs it with a barehand first.
