Sep. 17 at 3:24 PM
$XERS This is shaping up to be even better than I always thought. The big picture is that their 3 existing products are growing revenue steadily, as they have now for years. Then we just learned at the fireside chat that Recorlev alone will be doing
$250-300M. CF+ in 2025.
Takeaway: even if they only had their existing products, this will be slam dunk cash flowing within a year.
The icing on the cake is that they have 3 known collaborations -
$REGN,
$AMGN and Beta Bionics which also could generate hundreds of millions of revenue, and XP-8121 which is looking like it could have a TAM of at least a billion, perhaps 2-3 billion.
I can't think of anywhere else I would rather be invested. I can happily wait a year to start seeing this go 2x or 3x when the collab revenue starts kicking in through milestone payments. And if they bring a partner to monetize XP-8121 with someone like
$MYL or
$SDZXF, sky is the limit. We could easily see
$1 or
$2 gains in a day if that happens, maybe more.