Mar. 12 at 9:42 AM
$IDYA My guess: a HR probably under 0.5, maybe even 0.4 or lower and mPFS not reached in the treatment arm.
The math lines up: With 130 events triggered early, control must've flopped fast (like 2.8–3 months, as historical), so most events are theirs. Treatment stays strong – patients still progression-free, curve way to the right, median never crosses.
