Jan. 14 at 8:04 PM
$CPS Q4 PR is coming in a few weeks with 2026 guidance. Q4 was a kitchen sink quarter and will not matter. Guidance probably will though. 2 analyst consensus for 2026 is
$2.9B rev with
$273M EBITDA and
$2.34 EPS. Even tepid progress on 2030 target (
$4+B rev w/ 15%+ EBITDA margin) could change forward estimates. 2026 S&P Global production forecast is 15.08M, down from 15.24M in 2025, but production is projected to grow for hybrids, F, GM, and even STLA while decline for EVs and some foreign OEMs. CPS is currently at a P/S of .22x versus .39x for DAN and .73x for BWA. If management can execute it should be reflected in the guidance and would thus get reflected in the multiple.