Graniteshares 2X Long Rivn Daily ETF (RVNL)

$RVNL.NSE “RVNL: नई परियोजनाओं और सरकारी इंफ्रास्ट्रक्चर फोकस के साथ तेज़ी की पटरियों पर वापसी” Technical View (Daily Chart Observation) $RVNL has shown a notable technical rebound after a prolonged correction phase that started in mid-June 2025. The stock, which previously faced heavy selling pressure, has now formed a strong bullish candle, closing near ₹355 — indicating renewed investor confidence. Immediate Support: ₹340 – ₹345 Immediate Resistance: ₹365 – ₹375 Breakout Zone: ₹375+ (if crossed with volume, next targets ₹395–₹410) Fundamental View $RAIL Vikas Nigam Ltd (RVNL), a Mini Ratna PSU, executes major railway infrastructure projects including doubling, electrification, and metro works. With an order book of over ₹90,000 crore, the $COMPANY ensures 4–5 years of revenue visibility. Strong revenue growth (~15–18% YoY), stable margins (6–7%), and low debt make RVNL financially robust. Its expanding role in metro and high-speed rail projects positions it as a key beneficiary of India’s ongoing infrastructure growth. Upcoming News, Events & Impact The $COMPANY’s Q2 FY26 results, expected in late October, are likely to show stable earnings and margin improvement, which could trigger a short-term breakout if numbers beat estimates. Additionally, the FY26 Union Budget may raise railway capex to ₹2.9 lakh crore, directly benefiting $RVNL. New MoUs with BHEL and RITES for green energy and metro projects, along with potential international contracts in Bangladesh and UAE, can strengthen long-term growth visibility. Overall, upcoming events remain positive catalysts for both near-term momentum and long-term re-rating. Short-Term View (1–3 Months) $RVNL has regained strength after forming a strong base around ₹330–₹340. The breakout above ₹350 suggests renewed momentum. If the stock sustains above this level, it may move toward ₹375–₹390 in the short term. Positive earnings expectations and improving volume activity support a bullish short-term outlook. However, any dip below ₹340 could lead to mild profit booking. Long-Term View (6–12 Months) From a long-term perspective, $RVNL remains fundamentally strong with a robust order book, improving profitability, and steady execution. Government infrastructure spending and railway modernization initiatives will continue to act as strong growth drivers. Long-term investors can accumulate on dips near ₹345 with a 12-month target range of ₹430–₹450. Overall, the outlook remains positive with potential 20–25% upside. Government Role & Future Developments The Government of India’s consistent push for railway modernization, electrification, and station redevelopment directly benefits $RVNL. The upcoming Union Budget FY26 is expected to increase railway capital expenditure to nearly ₹2.9 lakh crore, strengthening long-term growth visibility. New JV projects with BHEL, RITES, and metro corporations, along with potential international projects in Bangladesh and the UAE, could further boost the company’s earnings and valuation. Any future policy announcements related to Make in India, Vande Bharat expansion, or bullet train projects may serve as additional positive triggers for $RVNL.

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$RVNL.NSE $RVNL (Rail Vikas Nigam Ltd.) – Monthly Detailed Analysis Why the $STOCK is Falling (Last 2 Months) 1.Profit Booking after Rally $RVNL had delivered a sharp rally in the past 1 year driven by government infra push. Investors who entered at lower levels are now booking profits as valuations got stretched. 2.Technical Weakness $STOCK is trading below 20, 50 & 100 EMA on monthly charts. MACD is negative, signaling bearish momentum. RSI below 40, showing weakness and lack of buying interest. Formation of two consecutive red candles indicates sustained selling pressure. 3.Sector-Wide Correction PSU stocks across the board saw a huge rally in 2024. Now, the sector is undergoing a healthy correction before the next leg of upmove. Technical Analysis (Monthly View) Support Levels: 310 → 290 → 270 Resistance Levels: 350 → 370 → 400 Indicators: MACD (12,26,9) = Negative crossover → Bearish RSI (14) = ~38 → Weak momentum Parabolic SAR dots above price → Ongoing downtrend Conclusion: In the near term, the chart remains weak until the stock breaks 360+ levels with volume. Fundamental & Macro View •Business Strengths Strong order book in railway infrastructure, metro, electrification & high-speed rail projects. Government focus on railway modernization supports long-term growth. Execution capacity has improved in the last 3–4 years. •Financials (Recent Trends) Revenue Growth: 15–18% CAGR over last 3 years. Net Profit Margin: Stable around 7–8%. Debt: Very low compared to peers. •Macro Support o Infrastructure spending to remain a priority in upcoming budgets. o PSU rerating theme continues, but valuations need consolidation. Future Outlook Short Term (1–3 Months) •Stock may remain under pressure till it holds below 350–360 resistance zone. •Possible sideways to bearish consolidation between 290–350. Medium Term (3–6 Months) •Once broader market sentiment improves and PSU buying resumes, stock may test 370–400. Long Term (6–12 Months) •Strong business fundamentals, robust order book, and government push in railway infra could drive RVNL towards 450–500+ levels once stock sustains above 400–420. Positioning Strategy • Short-Term Traders: Entry: Near 310–315 support zone Stoploss: 290 Target: 345–360 • Long-Term Investors: Accumulate in phases around 310–320 Add more on breakout above 360–370 Long-term target: 450–500+ (12 months outlook) Upcoming Events & Possible Impact 1.Q2 FY26 Results (Nov 2025) Better order inflow & margins → Positive sentiment Weak execution or delays → Short-term weakness 2.Union Budget 2026 (Feb 2026) Higher railway capex → Strong boost for RVNL Any infra allocation cuts → Negative impact 3.New Project Announcements High-speed rail, metro expansions, electrification → Positive triggers Delays in approvals → Negative sentiment 4.Global & Domestic Market Factors Rising interest rates, global slowdown → Can impact valuations India infra push → Will continue to support long-term growth Risks to Watch • Project execution delays • Political/regulatory risks (since it’s a PSU) • High dependence on government orders • Sharp correction in PSU basket Disclaimer This analysis is only for educational and informational purposes. It is not investment advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Investors must do their own research or consult a SEBI-registered financial advisor before investing. Disclosure •Investogainer Research is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (INH000012856) & BSE Listed (Code: 5845). •Neither the analyst nor family members hold any financial interest or position in RVNL. •This report has been prepared purely for research & educational purposes.

RVNL Shares Trade Near Long-Term Support; ₹270–₹280 Could Offer New Entry, Says SEBI RA $RVNL $NIFTY50.NSE https://stocktwits.com/news/equity/markets/rvnl-shares-trade-near-long-term-support-270-280-could-offer-new-entry-says-sebi-ra/chsR7CTRdah

$RVNL.NSE $RVNL – Weekly Technical View Price Action: Current Price: ₹336.60 Weekly High: ₹357.30 Weekly Low: ₹335.30 Closing near week’s low, indicating selling pressure. Trend & Moving Average: Price is trading below the 50-day EMA (green), 100-day EMA (blue), and 200-day EMA (black), showing a strong bearish trend. 200-day EMA is far above the current price, confirming a long-term downtrend. Indicators: Parabolic SAR dots are above the price, confirming bearish momentum. MACD remains in the negative zone, with no bullish crossover signal yet. RSI (14) is at 38.79 – in the bearish territory but not yet oversold, meaning further downside is possible. Support & Resistance Levels: Immediate Support: ₹315 Major Support: ₹300 Immediate Resistance: ₹355–360 zone Major Resistance: ₹380 Technical Outlook – $RVNL $RVNL is facing continued selling pressure and is trading below all major EMAs on the weekly chart. The downtrend remains intact, and unless the stock closes above ₹350–360 on a weekly basis, short-term upside momentum will remain limited. The $COMPANY is scheduled to announce its results on 12 August, which could lead to increased volatility. In the short term, the $STOCK is showing no signs of entering a correction phase; however, it needs to sustain above ₹350 for any meaningful recovery. For long-term investors, any significant dip can be considered a buying opportunity, especially if results are strong and the $STOCK manages to hold its rally. In such a case, $RVNL could potentially retest its previous highs of ₹450–₹460 within the next 3–6 months. Warning Registration granted by SEBI, membership of a SEBI recognized supervisory body (BSE), and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. Disclosure Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks; read all the related documents carefully before investing. We have no personal or family holding in RVNL at the time of this report.

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