Jun. 12 at 12:11 PM
$EXC — Bullish (Medium Confidence)
Target:
$46.69 (30-day horizon) | Stop:
$43.63
Current price:
$45.93. Reversal target aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and SMA50 near
$46.69 (+1.6% upside). Stop is 3% below the 52-week low (-5.0% downside).
Bullish Score: 33.75/100 | Bearish Score: 0.00/100
Key Signals
• Strong dark pool accumulation: 57 above-mid prints in the last 24h totaling ~
$25M, suggesting institutional buying.
• Reversal setup confirmed by 1 of 2 indicators, with dark-pool VWAP above the current price.
• Low IV Rank (11) makes options relatively cheap, favoring long-premium strategies.
• Stock is below SMA50 but above SMA200, indicating a pullback within a longer-term uptrend.
Risks
• Put flow dominates recent options activity, creating a contested setup.
• Counter-trend trade until price reclaims SMA50.
30-Day Probabilities
🎯 Target
$46.69: 56%
➡️ Range
$43.63–
$46.69: 20%
❌ Below
$43.63: 24%
Flow-based positioning analysis, not a price forecast.
