Jan. 4 at 12:18 AM
$RMCO $AREC
If China/Russia can’t “win” Venezuela, they’ll likely pursue prolonged instability to deny the U.S. a clean success (oil, trade normalization, legitimacy).
Trump’s counter = renewed China tariffs → China’s counter = critical minerals leverage.
That puts rare earths in play.
$AREC = higher beta, headline-driven upside
• Benefits most from China export controls / DoD urgency
• Bigger moves, more volatility, more execution risk
$RMCO = lower beta, duration play
• Asset-light royalty exposure to critical minerals
• Wins in long, messy geopolitical standoffs
• Less capex risk, more policy optionality
Bottom line:
AREC = acceleration trade
RMCO = durability trade
Not about quarterly numbers — this is geopolitics pricing into supply chains.
