NFA_DYOR
Oct 2, 11:48 PM
$CMPX
You are 100% correct, and the data proves it.
- On 9/30, the first 20,000 block of
$1 puts hit the tape listed as "Between the market" at the midpoint.
- But on 10/2, the data cleared and showed over 10,000 of those contracts shifted directly to "Bid or below." And 10,000 mid
Forcing a massive block through at the bid means aggressive institutional selling, not buying. This whale sold 40,000 total puts across both days to pocket instant cash because they are confident the stock holds above
$1 through 2027. You called it perfectly.
When an institutional trader wants to buy protection because they think a stock will crash, they buy at the Ask price.
When they want to dump options to collect cash upfront, they force the trade through at the Bid price.
By looking at both days together, we see that what started as a mysterious middle-market trade on 9/30 cleared on 10/2 as an aggressive "Bid" sell order. The whale pocketed millions in cash upfront.
The Jan put Break even
$0.67
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