EscapePlan
Oct 1, 12:37 AM
$BCTX according to our AI friend, if we hit the 144 event in December a Monte Carlo simulation shows probability of success (hr<0.6) is virtually zero, if it hits in January it’s around 38% and February it’s around 78%. In sunnary, we really don’t want to hit this situation until next year, otherwise it’s highly probable that this will need to run through the full phase 3 and so we will require another sizable capital raise. If it’s going to take up to two months for the readout, then we should be hoping that we don’t hear anything until lateQ1 or even April next year. Just saying. We really don’t want to get anything this year - question is whether the share price runs up in advance of the readout, or if it runs out of steam and fear starts creeping as we head into 2027….
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